So, economic stimulus
Nov. 25th, 2008 10:41 amVAT has gone down by 2.5% as of 1 December, which means the fancy camera I want to buy could conceivably cost 15 quid less in the New Year than it does now. Of course, fancy cameras being made mostly of microchips, it's likely to cost fifteen quid less anyway thanks to process optimisation in the silicon foundries of Taiwan, but hopefully these are cumulative.
But the purpose of an economic stimulus can't just be to move lumps of consumption around by a few months; I don't think that even in the current climate it's necessary to run a big sale in November purely so that you have the cash to pay the salaries for your shop workers in December.
So Alistair Darling's job is to make Britons more profligate than they are now for the next two years (despite the financial mess being, as far as I can see, a function of a decade of unbalanced profligacy) and more frugal than they are now for at least four years to follow. I don't see how subtle tweaks to the tax system can do this; indeed, I don't know if it can be done. Interest rates are the obvious instrument, but profligacy and frugality are functions of upbringing and circumstance in that order; after-tax interest rates on straight savings accounts are now below the rate of inflation, but this has meant that I grumble slightly, keep most of my money in just-as-insured short-term bonds, and devote slightly more to the stock market where there's a possibility of higher returns.
What government policy would make you go out and spend more in February?
But the purpose of an economic stimulus can't just be to move lumps of consumption around by a few months; I don't think that even in the current climate it's necessary to run a big sale in November purely so that you have the cash to pay the salaries for your shop workers in December.
So Alistair Darling's job is to make Britons more profligate than they are now for the next two years (despite the financial mess being, as far as I can see, a function of a decade of unbalanced profligacy) and more frugal than they are now for at least four years to follow. I don't see how subtle tweaks to the tax system can do this; indeed, I don't know if it can be done. Interest rates are the obvious instrument, but profligacy and frugality are functions of upbringing and circumstance in that order; after-tax interest rates on straight savings accounts are now below the rate of inflation, but this has meant that I grumble slightly, keep most of my money in just-as-insured short-term bonds, and devote slightly more to the stock market where there's a possibility of higher returns.
What government policy would make you go out and spend more in February?
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Date: 2008-11-25 08:08 pm (UTC)I'll have a Green New Deal, please, with a side order of social justice. As well as investment in renewable technologies and green job creation, I'd like to see some legislation forcing businesses to take a bit of sodding responsibility. For example, legislation that fixes a link between the lowest and highest salaries paid by a company. Not a fixed ratio but a spectrum of ratios. The lower the lowest salary is as a percentage of the highest salary, the more taxes the company pays. (And by "salary" I mean all remuneration.)
But the real reason I don't spend more is that shopping is such a miserable experience. I believe that the government could change that if it wanted to, but the Chancellor alone would have no chance and it couldn't be done by February.
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Date: 2008-11-25 08:58 pm (UTC)Of course, what would actually happen would be outsourcing of all low-paid roles to service companies that would then outsource all their high-paid roles.
I suppose that it'd be possible to give the IR the right to determine the ratio they felt applied by fiat.
The other downside is that I can't see a way of making that rule apply to the government / civil service, who also are in need of such constraint.
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Date: 2008-11-25 11:23 pm (UTC)S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 09:50 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-11-26 10:56 am (UTC)Companies already pay corporation tax in return for that privilege. You need a very strong justification, like the actual physical wellbeing of employees, to justify interfering in how the company is run.
Minimum wage laws are dodgy but I can see a case can be made; maximum pay laws I can't see any way in which they are not totally unjustifiable. If a company pays over the odds, it will go bust: hos is that not enoguh control on maximum pay?
S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 12:03 pm (UTC)I wouldn't immediately dismiss wage inequality as necessarily irrelevant to actual physical wellbeing: we're status-conscious apes; stress hormones drive blood pressure, and heart attack and stroke are pretty blatant insults to physical wellbeing.
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Date: 2008-11-26 12:08 pm (UTC)So. Basically, anybody who's not me being very successful makes my blood pressure higher; therefore we should outlaw, or at least cap, success?
S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 12:31 pm (UTC)I am not suggesting capping success, but I think it's probably healthy to cap status, and I don't think it's possible to pay people amounts that differ by two orders of magnitude without it being an overwhelming driving factor to their status.
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Date: 2008-11-26 12:41 pm (UTC)What's more it seems to legitimise envy as a policy driver, as your effectively saying that people's health will suffer because they are envious of those with more money, and the solution to this is to stop people being paid a lot rather than to tell those who are envious to get over it!
S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 02:05 pm (UTC)Why would you expect that telling people not to envy would work? Many organisations, including some with explicitly divine backing, have been attempting to discourage envy for at least three thousand years, and yet still we envy; envy's there all the way through the primates, it's something wired in hard enough that it's unrealistic to expect that telling people to get over it will work. At best you have just as much envy hidden by a thick layer of self-induced guilt.
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Date: 2008-11-26 02:35 pm (UTC)Telling people not to murder or steal hasn't worked either, but that's no reason to stop trying.
S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 02:48 pm (UTC)The government caps the amount that I can save in accounts paying interest tax-free at £3600 a year, which I think is absolutely analogous to capping the salary disparity that can be permitted without an increase in the rate of corporation tax; this troubles me little.
(no subject)
From: (Anonymous) - Date: 2008-11-26 03:05 pm (UTC) - Expandno subject
Date: 2008-11-26 02:55 pm (UTC)One obvious way of improving quality of life is to improve prosperity, and I'd accept that a free market should provide that (subject to free availability of information), however there's plenty of evidence¹ that large differences in relative living standards degrades quality of life. In my opinion, a goal of government should be to attempt to improve quality of life by reducing inequality, while balancing that against also improving overall prosperity.
¹ A very quick google suggests I could throw a barrage of references here supporting this statement, but I won't waste time doing so unless you think it necessary.
(Another example where overall prosperity can conflict with quality of life is environmental impact of business, and that too needs regulation. I see that as a reasonably close parallel to this case.)
Consider the extreme case of average incomes rising, but the entire rise being given to the existing top 1% of the population. Prosperity has risen, but entirely to the degradation of the quality of life of the general population.
Actually, I think a hard cap on salary would be quite a bad idea; however the idea of a tax geared on the ratio of minimum to maximum salary seems a rather clever way to offer an incentive for companies to reduce inequality without the large market distortion of salary caps.
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Date: 2008-11-26 03:10 pm (UTC)Who is being protected from what real danger by this punitive tax? Vaguenesses about heart attacks thirty years down the line don't count, unless you can prove that said person wouldn't have had a heart attack but for the unbearable stress caused by their own envy -- both because they're vague, and because I don't see why we should protect people from their own envy.
If the average income rises but the rise is confined to the top 1% of the population (assuming this is all in real terms), nobody's quality of life has dropped unless they allow themselves to be eaten up with envy, and them I have no sympathy for.
S.
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Date: 2008-11-26 11:14 pm (UTC)On the one hand, I've seen what large-ish companies will do to the mass of lower-paid employees, by direct observation, and it is quite often deeply exploitative and morally repugnant. Not in a "not paying very much" kind of way, but in a "ruining peoples' lives while applying highly inappropriate pressures and threats to them so as to extract as much as possible out of them over the short term before chucking them away" kind of way. Having seen this directly in action, I disapprove.
And on the other hand, we observe a quite small group of very well rewarded executives, who have constructed a monopoly-like structure in which they each are responsible (via membership of each others' boards, and by being in control of the companies that are majority share-holders of each other) for controlling their own incomes, and see no reason to place any limit on them.
What we observe is policies that are entirely constructed around the desire to justify implausibly large (in the sense that I'd struggle to spend it if I had all day to do so) salaries and bonuses by excessively short term strategies, and by grinding "maximum efficiency" out of the mass of employees.
And, in practice, I observe quite a lot of those very highly paid executives exhibiting complete thoughtless incompetence that runs completely counter to the self-congratulatory assertions they make to justify the awards they make themselves.
If you haven't seen who bloody awful this is for those on the receiving end, you are somewhat fortunate and sheltered.
And, I think, it is inevitable that the greedy and utterly self-centred will gravitate to roles where they can be exploitative and selfish; and that one useful function of government is to try to make this more difficult for them.
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Date: 2008-11-27 12:02 am (UTC)But I still don't see what any of that has to do with mandating some ratio between highest and lowest paid employees. If a company wants to hire someone who is the very best in their field, whether it be fund management, playing football, designing computer code, or directing films, and in order to do so is willing to outbid any competing firms and pay them a salary that is hundreds of times what the lowest-paid person in the company earns, that is entirely the company's decision about how to run its business and completely independent of the issue of how it treats those at the bottom end of the wage scale, so the government has no business setting punitive tax rates to discourage companies from competing to hire those at the top of their game.
And also, to forestall a possible objection, if the company wants to hire someone for some other asset they bring to the company not related to their talent, such as celebrity cache or publicity, again, that's entirely up to the company. It has nothing to do with how those at the bottom are treated -- and, again, if you think those at the bottom are treated in a way that injures them feel free to make the case that their conditions should be improved -- and is, again, entirely up to the company as to whether it thinks that extra factor is worth paying for.
If you want to help those on the receiving end, help those on the receiving end by agitating for their conditions to be improved. Don't interfere with how the company runs its business at the other end entirely.
S.
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Date: 2008-11-27 08:31 am (UTC)And my point still rests that it is the greedy and entirely self-centred (and indeed high-functioning sociopathic) who self-select for roles where they can do this. [ Not that all people in such roles are, but that there is a selection pressure for it ].
Free markets are not the magic solution to everything. There's a very narrow range of situations where they are genuinely free and mostly work (where there is a reasonable balance of supply and demand, free flow of information, and sufficient independent operators), and even then you find pathological behaviours like confusopolies springing up.
In most situations what appears to be a free market, isn't. Notably, in the particular situation we're discussing here, there is a quite small closed group of people who define their own metrics for success which, it transpires, are fairly bogus (suspicion turns to proof when the world economy collapses as a consequence of their "best in field" management skills).
Companies that say "we've got to pay a million pounds a year to get the best person" (or indeed "six million pounds a year to get this popular presenter") are showing striking irrationality in allowing themselves to be manipulated by an artificially constructed restriction on supply, that it would be quite straightforward for them to side-step.
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Date: 2008-11-27 09:50 am (UTC)Free markets aren't the magic solution to everything but in general the government needs a good excuse to start meddling in agreements freely arrived at between private parties. If I can convince a company that my services are worth £2.4 million per annum, I don't see why the government should get any say in that.
If it really would be quite straightforward for companies to sidestep this alleged artificially constructed restriction, why aren't more of them doing it, saving money, and outcompeting their rivals hollow?
S.
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Date: 2008-11-27 10:38 am (UTC)1. I'm not talking about capping the highest salary in a company. I'm talking about linking it to the lowest salary in a company. Companies would still be free to pay whatever ludicrously high salaries they like to the people at the top; it's just that they would then be forced to raise the salaries of the people at the bottom too. So it's not a "maximum wage" at all.
2. I think
3. I don't agree with
4. I do believe that the income inequalities created by a company's decisions on salary are an externality which government has to clean up. Income inequalities have a direct and negative effect on various areas which government deals with: crime and health, for example. So I believe it's completely fair to force a company to pay for the consequences of its own decisions through tax.
5. I don't believe that forcing a chief executive to accept a maximum of, say, 200 times the salary of a company's lowest worker can be seen as "pain" or "punishment" for the chief executive.
6.
7. I refuse to continue discussing this with you since I don't know who you are and I don't believe you are arguing in good faith. You have ignored
(no subject)
From: (Anonymous) - Date: 2008-11-27 11:38 am (UTC) - Expand(no subject)
From:(no subject)
From: (Anonymous) - Date: 2008-11-28 09:33 am (UTC) - Expandno subject
Date: 2008-11-27 03:04 pm (UTC)Because the people setting the company's strategy are not, ultimately, interested in the long term benefit to the company, but in maximising their own immediate reward through bonuses.
A little before the short-termism really starts to come back to haunt them, they move onto the next company. The particularly neat bit of the trick is how it looks like the company can't cope without them after they leave.
(no subject)
From: (Anonymous) - Date: 2008-11-27 03:14 pm (UTC) - Expandno subject
Date: 2008-11-26 10:58 am (UTC)Thank you!
Of course, what would actually happen would be outsourcing of all low-paid roles to service companies that would then outsource all their high-paid roles.
Yes, almost certainly, especially since a lot of companies are already outsourcing to avoid their existing obligations to employees. I personally think that you have to deal with outsourcing directly, through legislation, rather than trying to make it less attractive to employers by giving workers less rights.
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Date: 2008-11-26 11:20 pm (UTC)Still gets very difficult to pin down (is software "services" or "goods" - probably depends on how you sell it - to a single customer or in the mass market?) and might just turn into a further morass of complex legislation with lots of edge cases.
And I still don't see how to apply it to the civil service, schools, hospitals, universities ...
I still (pace S. above) like it; if only because it provides a nice incentive for the selfish buggers who strive for maximum pay at all costs to apply their selfishness for the benefit of others as well as themselves.
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Date: 2008-11-27 10:09 am (UTC)The difference would be that instead of pinning earnings ratios to corporation tax, you would use top-down policy to set those earnings ratios. The chief executive of Wherever Primary Care Trust would have his salary linked to the salary of the lowest-paid cleaner because that would be what they have to do to comply with the guidelines.
As for the other points you make in the comment above: yes, yes, and YES.
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Date: 2008-11-26 12:36 pm (UTC)I might buy a few return tickets to Bristol over the course of a decade to watch the Severn Tidal Barrage being built, and I might find myself paying a bit more for electricity, but utility bills come out of a different part of my head than discretionary spending. I don't think I'd be more willing to buy fancy camera lenses, or to get trousers from John Lewis rather than Oxfam, if I knew that BHP Billiton was being charged a punitive rate of corporation tax because it had underpaid the people it had employed to clear up a spill of gold-mine debris in Papua New Guinea.
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Date: 2008-11-27 10:17 am (UTC)Thanks for the indirect compliment! I guess what I was saying in my original comment was: this is what I want government policy to be, but it probably wouldn't make me spend more unless they made shopping a nicer experience. So I was completely failing to answer your original question.
I guess my point really is that at the moment, existing legislation does very little to stop businesses messing up the planet and treating people like crap. The only tool at the consumer's disposal is boycott, which is incredibly ineffective. But even if I'm not actively boycotting a company, I hate spending generally because it's (literally) buying into a system that's about hate and destruction.
If legislation forced companies to take responsibility for their impact on human beings and the planet, I'd feel as if buying things was actually a positive action sometimes.
Also, if we got a Green New Deal, my energy supplier would be burning sunshine instead of coal and I'd happily turn the heating up, bask in the warmth and pay for the privilege.