4056 lines of data

[fivemack]

So you don't have to scrape the BBC yourself:

http://www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~twomack/2010-results.txt

contains 4056 lines of the form

Chelsea & Fulham } Blue Environment Party } 17

The vote-count is blank for all the parties in Thirsk & Malton since that election hasn't happened yet.

The example script here makes the following list of parties standing in more than twenty places:

Party name	Number of places standing	Deposits saved
Socialist Labour Party	23	0
Monster Raving Loony Party	27	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	38	0
Plaid Cymru	40	29
Scottish National Party	59	59
Christian Party	71	0
English Democrats	107	1
Independent	250	13
Green	335	7
British National Party	338	72
UK Independence Party	558	99
Conservative	630	627
Labour	631	625
Liberal Democrat	631	630

(for the curious, the English Democrats kept their deposit in Doncaster North; the Liberal Democrats kept all of theirs but I divided by zero in Thirsk; the Conservatives lost theirs in Na H-Eileanan An Iar and Glasgow East; Philip Lardner stood as an independent in Ayrshire North after being deselected from the Conservatives)

Comments

[fivemack.livejournal.com]

Use script http://www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~twomack/jdc.pl or download the output from http://www.chiark.greenend.org.uk/~twomack/jdc.txt

Perl is quite a powerful data-scrunging tool; load the result into excel as delimited with semi-colons as the delimiters.

[beingjdc.livejournal.com]

Thanks. Interesting result - comes quite close to national PR but maintains the small low-turnout bonus for parties which attract working class votes, and small-constituency bonus for the special cases.

Tories 224 as against 235 in national PR
Labour 196 as against 189
LibDem 146 as against 150
SNP/Plaid gain one each
"Others" 27 rather than 23, though Northern Ireland / randomness makes that a slightly dodgy figure I imagine.

Now to figure out how I calculate the bell curve rather than merely the central probability! La la la.

[beingjdc.livejournal.com]

Also you seem to have lost the Conservative vote in North Ayrshire somewhere.

[beingjdc.livejournal.com]

Oh, you noted it. They got to him in time for the ballot - I missed that, I thought he was like South Cambs and ended up nominally on the paper but formally disowned - wonder why they didn't replace him in that case.